They arrived at Fenway Park with 15 games left and a greater than 15 percent chance of making the playoffs, according to Baseball Prospectus. They left Boston on Sunday with just over a four percent shot at the postseason, 2 and 1/2 games back with a dozen remaining and the Royals, Orioles, Indians and Rangers in their way.
They arrived at Fenway Park with 15 games left and a greater than 15 percent chance of making the playoffs, according to Baseball Prospectus. They left Boston on Sunday with just over a four percent shot at the postseason, 2 and 1/2 games back with a dozen remaining and the Royals, Orioles, Indians and Rangers in their way.
It's not quite over yet, and if any two teams know miracles do happen, they're the Red Sox and Yankees (see: 2004 ALCS). Still, the strange prospect of Alex Rodriguez parading through the Canyon of Heroes this October will probably be left to play out only in our minds. That's because the Sox outscored the Yankees 22-7 this past weekend, because they snagged six of seven games from New York in September and because they won 13 of 19 matchups this season.
"They've basically whipped our [butts]," A-Rod told reporters after Sunday's game, which he left in the fifth inning with calf tightness.
The 2013 baseball season will go down as the one in which Rodriguez - and Ryan Braun and 11 others - were suspended for their roles in the Biogenesis case. But on the field, it may go down as the year the Yankees finally got too old and the balance of power shifted in the American League.
You could see it coming. The Rays averaged almost 92 wins from 2008 to 2012 and will likely claim the top Wild Card spot this year. The Orioles made the playoffs in 2012 and have a young, talented offensive core led by a trio of 27-year-olds in Chris Davis, Adam Jones and Matt Wieters and a 20-year-old superstar in Manny Machado. That's not to mention the AL Central, where the Indians are battling for the second Wild Card while the Royals, with an entire lineup of players on the right side of 30, are anticipating their first winning season in 10 years.
What you couldn't see coming was the Red Sox' stellar year. Boston made a slew of offseason moves, none of which made serious waves. Now, general manager Ben Cherington looks like a genius. His four offensive acquisitions currently in the starting lineup - Mike Napoli, Stephen Drew, Jonny Gomes and Shane Victorino - have seen their collective on-base plus slugging percentages increase by a total of 140 points over last year. Drew is having his best season since 2010, while Victorino boasts an OPS over .800 and the best ultimate zone rating among regular right fielders, according to FanGraphs.
On the mound, Jon Lester has been solid and improving as of late, Felix Doubront has been serviceable and Clay Buchholz has been flat-out remarkable, returning from a neck injury last week and not allowing an earned run in his last two outings while improving to 11-0 on the season. And then there is John Lackey - he of the seemingly bloated five-year, $82.5 million contract - who returned from Tommy John surgery and has been the most consistent pitcher on the staff.
Whether or not the Red Sox' 2013 season is a fluke, their performance against the Yankees - they had 13 wins, more than any team against the Yankees since the 1976 Orioles - is a bad sign for fans in the Bronx.
The Yankees are an aging team with not much talent on the way in the minor leagues. They are also hamstrung by long-term contracts, namely Rodriguez's,which lasts through 2017. And they may struggle to hold on to some of their top players in the offseason.
Most notably, Robinson Cano is a free agent after this season and is not likely to accept a hometown discount, even while being a client of Yankees fan Jay-Z's agency. Additionally, Lyle Overbay, Travis Hafner, Curtis Granderson, Kevin Youkilis and Andy Pettitte all have expiring contracts, while A-Rod will presumably be serving a suspension and Derek Jeter may not have much left in the tank for 2014.
The Yankees find themselves in a precarious position. If they choose to re-sign Cano, he may not have much support around him. If they don't, they may go the Red Sox' route of gambling on a handful of cheaper options.
After making the playoffs in 17 of the last 18 years and winning the division 13 times in that span, the Yankees are no longer the toast of the American League. Young teams with savvy spending habits have become postseason contenders. If the Yankees don't play their cards right, it could be a while before they reclaim their throne.