News
March 31
With the official start of the big dance less than 24 hours away, here's your cheat sheet for one half of the field of 64, specifically the East and Midwest regions: EastThe East bracket has a lot of big names whose seasons have not lived up to predictions. That means a host of good early-round match-ups, with some teams packing their bags earlier than expected. Big Boys1. Maryland (26-4) - The Terps are led by senior guard Juan Dixon, who averages 19.3 points a game and senior center Lonny Baxter, who dominates down low with 15.2 points and 8.2 rebounds a game. Strong play by Byron Mouton and Steve Blake has the Terps looking for their first NCAA Championship. If the Terps want to improve on their final-four appearance from last season, they will need a solid contribution from Chris Wilcox and their deep bench.2. Connecticut (24-6) -The Huskies pulled off what no fan outside of Storrs, CT thought was possible: winning the Big East Tournament. With that victory already under its belt, UConn heads into the tournament with a newfound sense of confidence, but an overall presence that has lower seeds gunning for it. In order for the Huskies to give Maryland a run for the East, they need big play from co-Big East Player of the Year Caron Butler, who averages 19.5 points a game.5. Marquette (26-6) - Who is Dwyane Wade? Many college basketball fans may not even recognize this name, but after the NCAA tournament the entire country will know this man. Not only is this sophomore guard an All-Conference USA Selection, but more importantly - along with fellow guard Cordell Henry who shoots 37.5 percent from three-point range - he has led the Golden Eagles into the mix of NCAA contenders. Although the Golden Eagles are only a five seed, look for them to make waves in Maryland's side of the bracket.6. Texas Tech (23-8) - The Red Raiders are not really Big Boys, but they also are not sleepers. Although Texas Tech is the sixth seed, they might have the easiest route to the Sweet 16. Bobby Knight does not like to lose and a tough first round win against Southern Illinois followed by a victory over an overrated three seed like Georgia could find them battling with Uconn for a spot in the Elite Eight. The Red Raiders have three players averaging 15 points or better, and when they work on all cylinders they are tough to beat.Sleepers13. Valparaiso (25-7) - Look out for this 13 seed in the first round. Valpo has great upset potential, especially since they are matched against the very streaky Kentucky Wildcats. Although the Crusaders have not beaten any top-25 teams this season, they have played tough games against Kansas (81-73) and Arizona (74-70). And they have also won 14 of their last 15 games. Aside from that, Valpo brings a balanced attack to the table, with all five of their starters averaging in double figures. 11. Southern Illinois (26-7) - At large bid from the Missouri Valley Conference? The committee obviously thinks this team is no joke, so they must be respected. The Salukis lost in the finals of the conference tournament 84-76 to a tough Creighton team, who is seeded 12 in the Midwest. This team can go nine deep on a regular basis, with the capability to go 11 deep. A balanced scoring attack and fresh legs on the floor will provide a tough match-up for Knight's Red Raiders.StalematesEight-nine game- Wisconsin (18-12) vs. St. John's (20-11). This is going to be a battle in Washington, DC. Red Storm head coach Mike Jarvis is familiar with battles in DC as he was the coach at George Washington University before he took the job at St. John's. Jarvis' team is led by junior-standout and all Big East performer Marcus Hatten. A native of Baltimore, Maryland, Hatten continues to amaze doubters scoring 19.9 points per game. Don't let the record fool you, the Badgers like to slow the ball and take good shots, which could play right into their hands as the Red Storm turnover the ball nearly twice to every assist. Although Wisconsin only averages 66.9 points per outing, it has shown throughout the season that they can win the big games, as they are 5-2 versus top 25 teams. The team leaders are Kirk Penney and Devin Harris, combining for 27.5 of the teams 99.9 points a game. The loser of the game goes home, but the winner's fate might be the same as their victory is fed to the number one seed Terrapins.Seven-ten game- North Carolina State (22-10) vs. Michigan State (19-11). The Wolfpack are this year's ACC tournament runner-up and Michigan State did not even make it to their conference semi-finals. NC State has 22 wins, by far its most in a long time. Mich. State has 19 wins and 11 losses, and that is not even including the postponed game against Virginia it was losing. The game seems lopsided on paper, so why is it a stalemate? Becase NC State is a relatively young team with little post-season experience. NC State is the only non-ranked opponent that has defeated Maryland all season. Senior guard Anthony Grundy is the Pack's heart, if he gets shut down the Wolfpack get shut down. The Spartans also have to contend with a rack of talented freshman. On the other hand, the Spartans are only one of four teams to beat Oklahoma this year, showing their big game potential. As the Wolfpack rely on Grundy, the Spartan rely on sophomore Marcus Taylor. If NC State can keep him below his season average of 16.8 points a game, they should be OK. If not the Pack could be in for a long day.Overrated3. Georgia (21-9) and 4. Kentucky (20-9) - Both play in a somewhat overrated conference in the SEC and both lost in the first round. Coach Jim Harrick has a plethora of talent on his Bulldog squad, but their lack of experience might hurt them in the long run. The Wildcats have a similar upside in a great coach, Tubby Smith. Their downside is that they have one superstar in Tayshaun Prince and an underachiever in Keith Bogans. Kentucky is always going to make a run for the title, but they might be stopped short in the first round to a red-hot Valparaiso team.Prediction: An ACC elite eight leads to Maryland heading to the final four for the second straight season. Look for Marquette to challenge the Terps in the sweet 16, also look for Texas Tech to go to the elite eight instead of NC State.MidwestWhile the Midwest bracket lacks some of the big names the East has, it has just as many exciting match-ups. And if Cinderella will be crowned princess at all this year, she will most likely be from the Midwest.Big Boys1. Kansas (29-3) - Rock jock Jayhawks: this juggernaut was the number-one team in the country until it lost to Oklahoma in the Big 12 Tournament Finals. Kansas has an excellent outside game to complement its dominant inside presence. The Jayhawks are composed similarly to the Chicago Bulls of the mid-'90s. They are led by All-American Drew Gooden (20.3), who has a Michael Jordan like presence on the court being able to score from the inside or out. Gooden is complemented by team's version of John Paxson and Steve Kerr in Nick Collison (15.6 points per game) and Kirk Hinrich (15.8 points per game), who shoots 49.2 percent from three-point land. Any way you look at, Kansas will be a tough shoe to polish and will most likely make a showing in the final four.2. Oregon (23-8) - Oregon came within two games of being the first school since the '60s to win the PAC-10 title in football and basketball in the same year. Even with a semi-final loss to one of the hottest teams in college basketball, USC, the Ducks are still a force to be reckoned with. The squad is led by Frederick Jones, who averages 18.5 points per game. If the Ducks hit their three-point attempts, they might quack their way to the elite eight. Oregon shoots 42.4 percent from three-point range as a team.3. Mississippi State (26-7) - The Bulldogs might be the hottest team in college basketball, as they have won their last eight games, including a SEC Championship against number two seed in the South, Alabama. Mississippi State wins games by playing good defense and showing a wide variety of line-ups. The Bulldogs can play up to ten players a game, which will pay off the further they get in the tournament. Sleepers9. Western Kentucky (28-3) - After a win at Kentucky in its first game of the season, the Hilltoppers have not looked back. They are led by center Chris Marcus, who averages 16.4 points and 9.4 rebounds a game. Senior Derek Robinson shoots 45.8 percent from three-point range and averages 10.6 points a game. Western Kentucky is a deep team that can play 10-11 players a game.12. Creighton (22-8)- Once again the Bluejays played their way into the field of 65. They defeated Southern Illinois in the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament Finals, but were seeded lower than the Salukis. Creighton is a deep team that can play with the best. They beat Western Kentucky earlier this season and playing the streaky Florida Gators in the first round might help.StalematesSeven-ten game- Wake Forest (20-12) vs. Pepperdine (22-8). This could be the toughest game in any bracket to pick. The Demon Deacons hail from the always respected ACC Conference, but Pepperdine has been a giant slayer all season. Wake performed as they were expected to in the ACC tourney, winning their first game and losing to Duke in the semis. The Deacons have been playing big games all season because of their tough schedule. However, they have not performed up to par in most of those games as their 3-9 record versus top 25 teams reflects. Wake's pulse is senior, Darius Songaila. He averages 17.8 points and 8.1 rebounds per game. Also look for big contributions from Josh Howard and Craig Dawson for the Deacons pull out this victory. The Waves of Pepperdine have the potential to go to the elite eight, but are also very beatable in the first round. Gonzaga has been a constant thorn in the Waves side as they have won 17 of their last 19 with their only two losses coming to the hands of the Bulldogs. Pepperdine is a well-balanced team that relies on six players for most of their scoring. Wake or Pepperdine will certainly give Oregon a run for their money in the second round.Six-eleven game - Texas (20-11) vs. Boston College (20-11). This game is most likely the least interesting six-eleven match-up, but be sure Longhorn and Eagle fans will be tuned in. This battle showcases the middle of the pack from the Big 12 and the middle of the Big East. Texas had one of the most demanding schedules of the year and performed relatively well. Out of eleven losses, only four did not come to top 25 teams. The Horns have the nations leading assist man in freshman T.J. Ford as well as three big time scorers. With an all-around game, they should be tough for BC to handle. Boston College is destined for a first-round loss. Many felt the Big East is in overrated conference and the Eagles are an overrated team. The only way for BC to win this game would be for another player to step up besides Troy Bell. Bell averages 21.4 points a game. Containment of Bell, forcing other members of the team to play will propel Texas to the second round.Overrated4. Illinois (24-8), 5. Florida (22-8), and 8. Stanford (19-9) - The Illini have had a decent season, but maybe over seeded. Illinois did win their last seven league games, but exited early in the tourney to eventual champs, Ohio State. Even though they are overrated, the Illini might still find their way to the sweet 16 because their probable opponents in the second round are cold. The Florida Gators struggled their way to a 10-6 conference record. They have elite eight potential, but heavily rely on the three. One bad game from the arch could be the end of the Gators season. Stanford has lost three of their last five games and has received an eight seed based on the PAC-10's reputation. The Cardinal might fall hard from their elite eight appearance a season ago and all to the Hilltoppers in the first round.Prediction: Kansas gets the bid to the final four, but look for Oregon or the winner of the Wake/Pepperdine to give them a run for their money. Illinois or Florida gets to the sweet 16, but Kansas will be waiting to thwart any efforts to make the elite eight.